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PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players NowProjecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
Category Archives: Looking Back
Comparing the 2015 Tout Auction to 2015 Tout Draft’s Dollar Values. What?
If you order the auction dollar values from most expensive to least expensive, then overlay them on the player selection order in a draft, you get a dollar value for each draft pick. That’s what I’ve done with this year’s Tout Wars Mixed Draft (March 10) and Auction (March 21). (more…)
Posted in Auction, Data, Draft, Looking Back, Prices
Finding Undervalued Pitchers: Walk Rate
After I finished my look at correlation between 2013 pitching stats and 2014 fantasy baseball profits, I just had to look at which pitchers might bubble up this year because of their low walk rates last year. Hisashi Iwakuma, Jordan Zimmerman, Doug Fister, David Price, Masahiro Tanaka, and Clayton Kershaw (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Projections
Finding Undervalued Pitchers: Fun with Correl!
My buddy Mike Salfino, who writes about baseball (both real and fantasy) at the Wall Street Journal and Yahoo!, loves (K-BB)/IP to evaluate pitchers, and to find those delightfully undervalued arms that help teams (both real and fantasy) win. I like (K-BB)/IP, too, but in talking about it I haven’t (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
Fast-and-Slow-Starting Cheap Hitters!
We’re looking at the April 2013 earnings of hitters. When we slice and dice the cheap guys, those who sank in the auction because no one felt the need to bid them up, we come up with 25 such hitters who earned more than $5 in April. These are guys who (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
More Fun With Monthly Charts and Starting Pitchers
So, the “trusted” hurlers who fail in the first month bounce back some of the way afterwards. They don’t continue to be so dismal, thank goodness. But what about the guys we didn’t trust that much in the first place? This chart shows the 15 starters who had the worst (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
You Look Very FAABulous! (Part 2, pitching)
The Pitching side of the Tout Wars NL 2013 Hypothetical Standings In the first part of this comparison of the Hypothetical Draft Day Standings and the End of Season Standings in Tout Wars NL, we saw that Tristan Cockcroft finished in first place, even though he bought the fourth-best team (more…)
Posted in Data, FAAB, Free, Looking Back
LOOKING BACK: Other 2013 Measures of Pitchers
PLEASE NOTE: The original posting didn’t include Jose Fernandez in the Biggest Earners and Biggest Profits charts because of a join issue. He is included now. How about if we compare the return from the Top Starters to the return from the Top Relievers. That is, the starters and relievers (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Looking Back, Prices
Looking Back: 2013 Most Profitable and Most Overpriced
Yesterday we looked at what hitters cost last year and how they performed, which told us something about what we can expect from our drafts. An average team in 2013 lost 12 percent of its hitting value from auction day to the end of the year. That’s money that had (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
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