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PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players NowProjecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
Category Archives: Free
Roto Prices Through the End of August!
The latest monthly earnings report is posted here. Remember that these are 5×5 (BA) prices based on the full league budget of $3120 per team in a 12 team only league. These are made on the fly, so they give positive values to the Top 108 pitchers and the Top (more…)
LINK: A lesson in variance, as much as anything.
The Hardball Times is running a series of articles by their writers about what they learned doing a project. Dan Szymborski wrote about projecting player performance and Mitchel Lichtman wrote about defensive statistics. Very good stuff. A guy named Matt Hunter writes about creating a baseball simulator, which he has done, (more…)
A Question of Value
Between updating the Patton $ projections and preparing for Tout Wars and the XFL 17 round reserve draft, and just a little bit of civilian life, time is speeding past. I wanted to talk briefly here about the idea of value. In Tout Wars I bought a team that is (more…)
Top 10 Most Misunderstood Fantasy Baseball Misconceptions: Leading Indicators
When I think of a Leading Indicator I think of something that changes ahead of a change in results. Like when a player reports to spring training in the best shape of his life. Kidding, at least some of the time. One of the first of these I looked at (more…)
Posted in Basics, Free, Top 10 Misunderstood
Park Factors and Handedness 2013
I’ve been meaning to take a look at special Park Factor situations. Park factors are of interest, of course, because they help us understand which ballparks are easier to hit in (and worse for pitchers) or easiest to pitch in (and worse for hitters). Take the stats of a team and (more…)
Posted in Ballparks, Basics, Free, Projections
Mixed League Free Loot: A look at 2013 Tout Wars Mixed Auction
When putting together the recent series about how many stats the teams of last year’s NL Tout Wars league added after the auction, it occurred to me that I’ve never seen the same issue looked at for mixed leagues. So, I ran the hypothetical standings for last year’s Tout Wars (more…)
Top 10 Most Misunderstood Fantasy Baseball Concepts: #4. FAAB
A close look at how much of a year’s stats were acquired by FAAB in Tout Wars NL (hitting and pitching) and how they affected the fortunes of specific teams should be enough to convince anyone of the importance of FAAB. As will a recap of how much of each stat (more…)
Posted in FAAB, Free, Top 10 Misunderstood
You Look Very Very FAABulous! (Part 3, Tradeoffs of Mike and Phil)
Slicing the Hypothetical Standings Another Way. Looking at one league and drawing conclusions is obviously fraught with issues. An N=1 is inherently unreliable as evidence, but digging deep into the stories in one league can help us identify issues that deserve further exploration. For instance, at the end of Part (more…)
Posted in Data, FAAB, Free, Hypotheticals
You Look Very FAABulous! (Part 2, pitching)
The Pitching side of the Tout Wars NL 2013 Hypothetical Standings In the first part of this comparison of the Hypothetical Draft Day Standings and the End of Season Standings in Tout Wars NL, we saw that Tristan Cockcroft finished in first place, even though he bought the fourth-best team (more…)
Posted in Data, FAAB, Free, Looking Back
You Look FAABulous! (Part 1, hitting)
Counting Last Year’s Free Loot in Tout Wars NL On March 25, 2013, the Tout Wars NL draft was held in the studios of SiriusXM radio in New York City. Nationally-known fantasy writers and experts auctioned teams for a roto-style league that has been running since 1998. If all the (more…)
Posted in Data, FAAB, Free, Projections
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