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PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players NowProjecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
Category Archives: Free
Looking Back: Some Hitter Profit and Loss Charts for 2013
In recent years Mike Gianella has done exhaustive reviews of the previous year’s fantasy prices and compared them to what actually happened on his site Roto Think Thank. One of the features I liked was that he included my bid prices in the review, so I could see how I (more…)
2013 Earnings By Position
The spreadsheet that follows shows the amount of earnings by players at each position last year. The idea is to give some idea about the depth of talent that’s out there, so I also show the number and percentage of players who earned more than $15 in 2013. The dollar (more…)
Comparing OBP and BA Earnings for 2013
Using On Base Percentage instead of Batting Average, as Tout Wars is going to do in the AL and NL leagues this year, changes hitter values. As you might expect, hitters who walk a lot or get hit by a lot of pitchers, go up in value, as we see (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Members, Prices, Supporters
Top 10 Most Misunderstood Fantasy Baseball Concepts: 10. Position Scarcity
In shallow draft leagues position scarcity is definitely a factor, but in deep leagues much less so. And there nearly everyone calculates it incorrectly. How important is position scarcity? In auctions position scarcity isn’t a pricing issue. Even in shallow auctions. The key is making sure that the pool of (more…)
Posted in Basics, Free, Members, Top 10 Misunderstood
A new project this year: Month by Month Roto Prices
Since April, at the end of each month I’ve been posting roto prices for all players. You can find the end of June prices here. Prices through the end of the year in a spreadsheet are here. These prices are scaled so that the Top 216 pitchers and the top (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Members, Prices, Stat Projections, Supporters
Can’t Anyone Here Play This Game?
Since we started Tout Wars in 1998, three leagues involving 470 participant seasons have vied for 36 titles. That’s 36 winners, for those scoring at home, and 434 losers. Consider the number of multiple winners and the situation is further distilled: Larry Schechter: Five Mike Lombardo: Three Ron Shandler: Three (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Introduction, Members
Blast from the Past: My 1996 Crystal Ball
The first bit of real writing about fantasy baseball I had published was a long story accompanying my baseball projections in the 1996 edition of Peter Golenbock’s How to Win at Rotisserie Baseball. It has a lot to say about projecting baseball stats, not all of it up to date (more…)
Posted in Free, Prices, Stat Projections
Projections are Not the Same as Prices
Winning at playing fantasy baseball has two obvious components: 1) Good Player Projections, and 2) Accurate Player Pricing. It is, one assumes, most helpful to have the best projections, because they tell us what players are going to do. The best set of projections would give you the best idea (more…)
Posted in Free, Prices, Stat Projections
What is a projection?
When I was growing up an astrologist named Jeane Dixon was famous because she had predicted that President John F. Kennedy would be assassinated before he actually was. She was a popular author and newspaper columnist who regularly published her predictions of what was to come and many people bought (more…)
Posted in Free, Stat Projections
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