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PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players NowProjecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
Monthly Archives: January 2014
LOOKING BACK: Other 2013 Measures of Pitchers
PLEASE NOTE: The original posting didn’t include Jose Fernandez in the Biggest Earners and Biggest Profits charts because of a join issue. He is included now. How about if we compare the return from the Top Starters to the return from the Top Relievers. That is, the starters and relievers (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Looking Back, Prices
Looking Back: 2013 Profit Margins in Pitchers
So, we learned that the draft day hitters fell short of their draft day prices by 12 percent last year. How about the pitchers? The pitchers that cost $20 or more, the blue chip starters and a few relievers, had an average price of $25 and ended up earning an (more…)
Looking Back: 2013 Most Profitable and Most Overpriced
Yesterday we looked at what hitters cost last year and how they performed, which told us something about what we can expect from our drafts. An average team in 2013 lost 12 percent of its hitting value from auction day to the end of the year. That’s money that had (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
Looking Back: Some Hitter Profit and Loss Charts for 2013
In recent years Mike Gianella has done exhaustive reviews of the previous year’s fantasy prices and compared them to what actually happened on his site Roto Think Thank. One of the features I liked was that he included my bid prices in the review, so I could see how I (more…)
2013 Earnings By Position
The spreadsheet that follows shows the amount of earnings by players at each position last year. The idea is to give some idea about the depth of talent that’s out there, so I also show the number and percentage of players who earned more than $15 in 2013. The dollar (more…)
Comparing OBP and BA Earnings for 2013
Using On Base Percentage instead of Batting Average, as Tout Wars is going to do in the AL and NL leagues this year, changes hitter values. As you might expect, hitters who walk a lot or get hit by a lot of pitchers, go up in value, as we see (more…)
Posted in Data, Free, Members, Prices, Supporters
Top 10 Most Misunderstood Fantasy Baseball Concepts: 10. Position Scarcity
In shallow draft leagues position scarcity is definitely a factor, but in deep leagues much less so. And there nearly everyone calculates it incorrectly. How important is position scarcity? In auctions position scarcity isn’t a pricing issue. Even in shallow auctions. The key is making sure that the pool of (more…)
Posted in Basics, Free, Members, Top 10 Misunderstood
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