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PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players NowProjecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
Category Archives: Data
Pitchers: Are Slow Starters Doomed?
On the flip side of the mostly undrafted guys who had great first halves, there is the list of the worst pitchers in the first half of this year. The 20 Least Profitable Pitchers of 2014 While there are some guys who were not bought on this list, the key (more…)
Pitchers: Does A Surprising Start Persist?
I recently wondered what to do about my Tout Wars pitching staff. During the auction I had followed my plan (one derived from empirical evidence) to spend about $55 on pitching, planning to churn and search for pitching values off my reserve list and waivers. The plan worked to perfection, my team (more…)
The JUNE fantasy baseball earnings report is here!
You can access it here. You probably knew that the top pitchers of the month were Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and Masahiro Tanaka, but did you know that three very cheap ptchers finished 9-11? Yes, they would be Jake Arrieta, Sean Doolittle and Danny Duffy. On the hitting side the month’s (more…)
Posted in Data, Prices, Projections
Rotoman’s Agony: What Am I Supposed to Do With Perfection?
In the last two weeks my Tout Wars NL team has ascended, from 11th place on June 1 to fourth place today (yesterday I was in third). Then: Now: That’s a gain of 21 points in 19 days, but the gains were uneven. While I added four points in (more…)
Posted in Data, Prices, Projections
The MAY Earnings Report
Who were the Top Roto Hitters in May? Who were the Top Roto Pitchers in May? Lots of power hitters had a great May, but so did surprise hot start speed guy Dee Gordon. Is anybody else surprised to see Dallas Keuchel near the top of this list? A few (more…)
Expecting Success: How do the top players rank at the end of April?
Reading Ron Shandler’s story at USA Today yesterday, Fantasy’s First Round Has Been Filled With Busts, I realized in my recent series looking back at how fast starters and slow starters in April 2013 performed over the whole year, that I never looked at how the best players might do (more…)
Posted in Data, Prices, Projections
The April Earnings Spreadsheet is Posted
5×5 prices for hitters and pitchers for April 2014, along with Consensus preseason prices. How are your guys doing versus expectations? Find out here. Share this:EmailLinkedInFacebookTwitterMorePrintPinterest (more…)
LINK: A lesson in variance, as much as anything.
The Hardball Times is running a series of articles by their writers about what they learned doing a project. Dan Szymborski wrote about projecting player performance and Mitchel Lichtman wrote about defensive statistics. Very good stuff. A guy named Matt Hunter writes about creating a baseball simulator, which he has done, (more…)
Fast-and-Slow-Starting Cheap Hitters!
We’re looking at the April 2013 earnings of hitters. When we slice and dice the cheap guys, those who sank in the auction because no one felt the need to bid them up, we come up with 25 such hitters who earned more than $5 in April. These are guys who (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
Hot and Cold Starts for Hitters. Do they mean anything?
So, we learned that if you paid real money for a pitcher and he had a bad April, chances were pretty good he would bounce back to be the pitcher you hoped for in subsequent months (if not for the year as a whole). But if you didn’t pay a (more…)
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